Prospective for Fed balance sheet to strike $17 trillion in future crises taken a look at James Van Straten · 1 month ago
Quick Take
According to information from FRED, the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has actually broadened substantially considering that 2002, growing from $720 billion to $7.2 trillion. This represents a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11% over 22 years. Surprisingly, a current insight from CryptoSlate shows that the S&P 500 has actually likewise experienced a comparable CAGR of 11%, recommending that the S&P 500 grows at the very same rate as the Fed’s balance sheet growth. The SPX has actually increased roughly 16% year-to-date. On the other hand, Bitcoin (BTC) has actually revealed an amazing CAGR of roughly 63% and has actually increased by approximately 50% year-to-date (YTD).
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet: (Source: FRED)
Taking a look at the portion boosts throughout the Quantitative Easing (QE) occasions in 2008 and 2020 offers extra context. Throughout the 2008 monetary crisis, the Fed’s balance sheet increased by 144%; throughout the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, it grew by 137%. If a comparable crisis were to happen and the Fed were to react with another aggressive QE, the balance sheet might possibly reach around $17 trillion.
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